Public reveal energy security fears as price cap increases

Three quarters (74%) of the public are worried about the global insecurity of energy prices over the next five years, according to new research for the Warm This Winter campaign. [1]

The figures found that two-thirds (67%) of the country are concerned about the impact of the UK’s reliance on oil and gas, while half (53%) are worried by the potential for the country not to build renewables fast enough over the next five years.

As the Ofgem price cap rises by 1.2% on 1 January 2025, four-fifths (79%) of the public are worried about the potential for further energy price rises over the next five years. Average energy bills remain around £700 a year above where they were in winter 2020/21.

The public’s fears are backed up by the latest predictions that show that energy bills are likely to rise again by around 3% in April 2025 and news that gas prices could rise again.

With households struggling through a fourth winter of the energy bills crisis, levels of energy debt have soared to record levels. Meanwhile 20 energy firms have made more than £483 billion in profits in recent years. [2]

A spokesperson for the End Fuel Poverty Coalition, commented:

“The public have seen first hand the impact of the energy bills crisis – driven by the UK’s reliance on volatile energy markets.

“Millions of people are living in cold damp homes, unable to heat their homes to a safe temperature or racking up massive debts – with some even turning to loan sharks

“To add insult to injury, around a quarter of what is spent on heating our draughty properties is wasted, because the UK’s old housing stock is some of the worst insulated in Europe.

“2025 will be a momentous year for setting the future direction of energy policy with reforms to Ofgem itself, changes to standing charges and overhaul of electricity markets on the cards as well as the roll out of the Clean Power Plan.

“But the UK government needs to ensure that those suffering now are not abandoned. This means more support for households through a social tariff and delivering on its promise to help people to insulate their homes.”

Warm This Winter spokesperson Caroline Simpson said:

“As the latest price cap rise means energy bills will be 67% above what they were in winter 2020/21 we need long term solutions.

“A comprehensive insulation programme is the quickest and easiest way to bring down bills permanently because in real terms the average household is paying more than £700 extra to use similar levels of energy as a few winters ago.

“We have 8.8 million adults living in cold damp homes, exposed to the health complications that come from living in fuel poverty and while we welcome recent initiatives from Ofgem, insulation and ramping up renewables to get us off volatile oil and gas for good, is what we need.

“That has overwhelming support from people in the UK with eight in 10 backing an increase in the construction of offshore wind turbines and solar panel farms and three quarters (74%) supporting onshore wind farms. We urge the Government to get on with the job they have started on that road to permanently lowering bills for all.”

For older people, the changing price cap means that over the coldest months of the year, the poorest pensioners who have had the winter fuel payments taken away from them have had to find an extra £522 just to use the same, average household, level of energy. [3]

ENDS

[1] Opinium conducted an online survey of 2,000 UK adults between 22nd and 26th November 2024. Results have been weighted to be nationally representative.

[2] Consumer energy debt now stands at £3.82bn (Ofgem, December 2024). Profits figures released on 28 December 2024.

[3] Price cap for 1 Oct to 31 Dec 2023 stood at £1,834. As that is an annual figure, we divide it by 4 = £458.50 for the average household energy costs in that period. Price cap for 1 Jan 2024 to 31 Mar 2024 was £1,928, divided by 4 = £482. So the average household’s energy bill for the six months 1 Oct 23 to 31 Mar 24 was £940.50.

Then apply the £300 WFP and £300 Cost of Living adjustments, so the average older household would be paying £341 for this six months. Other WFP households which didn’t get COL payments would have paid £741.
Price cap 1 Oct to 31 Dec 2024 was £1717, divided by 4 = £429.25. Price cap 1 Jan to 31 Mar 25 is £1,738 divided by 4 = £434.50. So the average household’s energy bill for the six months is £863.75 which will be paid by all those missing out on WFP this year.
That’s a difference of £522 for the poorest pensioners and £123 for other pensioners.

Image: Abdul_Shakoor / Shutterstock.com

Business and charities unite in call for energy efficiency investment

End Fuel Poverty Coalition members have joined leading charities and businesses in a new drive for energy efficient investment.

A Declaration, ‘Energy Efficiency First’, has been published, calling on all political parties to make investment in home energy efficiency an infrastructure investment priority.

The Declaration states that to reach the UK’s legally binding net-zero emission and fuel poverty targets, all the UK’s homes will have to be made highly energy efficient. Additional public capital investment of £1 billion a year for the next 15 years is needed to ensure the targets are achieved.

The signatories point out that there is potential to reduce energy demand in UK homes by at least a quarter, saving the average household £270 every year. A quarter of the energy currently used could be saved and there is technical potential to cut home energy use in half.

The Declaration has been published on the day that the Energy Efficiency Infrastructure Group (EEIG) sets out its vision for how to make all UK homes energy efficient. Called ‘The Net-Zero Litmus Test’, it reminds politicians that energy efficiency is the most cost-effective way to decarbonise the economy and would deliver a net benefit of over £50 billion to UK households, businesses and government.

The report finds that installation rate of home insulation measures has been cut by 95% since 2012. 170,000 homes are being upgraded with energy efficiency improvements in the UK each year but the number needs to rapidly rise to 1.2 million a year in order to meet decarbonisation targets.

The EEIG reports progress made against the its six-step plan to set up an energy efficiency infrastructure programme for the UK and sets out how to get on track.

Peter Smith, Director of Policy and Research at National Energy Action, and End Fuel Poverty Coalition Member said:

Fuel poverty continues to be a very real and stark reality for millions of people across the UK. The aim to reach net-zero is one of the most ambitious strategic goals the UK Government has ever set. It will have profound implications for all UK citizens, businesses and society at large.

The UK can only move rapidly towards net-zero, whilst creating a fair energy future for all citizens, if we urgently provide central investment to improve domestic energy efficiency. The top priority is to help the poorest households living in least efficient homes, mainly in rural areas and other hard to heat homes.

Alasdair MacEwen, Spokesperson for the Energy Efficiency Infrastructure Group said:

Achieving net-zero emissions cost-effectively is simply impossible without a huge cut in energy demand. Whether any political party is prepared to do this is the litmus test of whether it is serious about achieving net-zero emissions. It can only be achieved if we treat the decarbonisation of homes as the UK’s number one infrastructure priority. No other infrastructure project can benefit so many and at the same time create returns on investment.

Tom Thackray, Director of Infrastructure and Energy Policy at the CBI said:

All government departments must buy in to improving the efficiency of our homes and buildings and work with industry to provide the correct regulation. Treating energy efficiency as an infrastructure priority, would change the way in which it is approached by the Government allowing the issue to be treated as other public investments, such as in public buildings and transport infrastructure. It would send a clear message to investors and consumers as to the direction and ambition of government policy.

The EEIG represents a growing and broad-based coalition of over 25 industry groups, NGOs, charities and businesses that are asking for rapid improvement on energy efficiency in homes and buildings policy in the UK.

For a full list of signatures to the Declaration, please visit www.e3g.org